No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $15.83
- Potential payout
- $15.85
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.28
Polymarket Trader
0x4916...59b4
0x4916cfb29a4cde748fc41f603296b325eb7159b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.83
- Realized PnL
- $9.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or higher on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 10?No 96.8% 3.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11?No 90% 3.33 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?Yes 0.1% 1,453.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 1?No 98.7% 9.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 1?No 99.1% 12.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?Yes 0.2% 1,453.46 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 15.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 30?No 98.8% 9 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 30?No 90.3% 11.98 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30?No 97.5% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or higher on March 27?No 99% 10.42 shares