Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
0x4918613E85C45E759A8f4CFfc1353CCE151Ac81D-1768244222254
0x4918613e85c45e759a8f4cffc1353cce151ac81d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.96
- Realized PnL
- $2.83
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $7.27
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 91.7% 1.25 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?No 55% 7.27 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 79.4% 1.26 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 46% 2.5 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 60.8% 1.71 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 58.4% 1.71 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No 77.9% 1.34 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No 74.2% 1.35 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 23.1% 1 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares