No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Xavwv
0x492f7c119b63a367b1b7289fe37f4f44aa6f8144
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $221.75
- Realized PnL
- -$192.72
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $35.43
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$14.57
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $684.66
- Potential profit
- $678.84
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$19.18
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $325.75
- Potential profit
- $323.31
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.56
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $176.22
- Potential payout
- $180.56
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $111.22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $8.37
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$8.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $7.33
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
N
No position
Will Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$79.18
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$112.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?No 17% 8.47 shares
- Will Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?Yes 80.8% 49.48 shares
- Will Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?No 59% 8.47 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes 98% 10.2 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 2.6% 1,140.74 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 211.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 2.8% 2,172.14 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 24.07 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes 1.5% 333.33 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 13.6% 70 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 187.5 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 7.4% 344.82 shares