Yes position
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
DanBolla33
0x49341db98d00c870dc2925d36a32369cfe376d71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.99K
- Realized PnL
- $3.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $47.11
- Potential payout
- $623.96
- Potential profit
- $576.85
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$16.03
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $354.03
- Potential payout
- $557.53
- Potential profit
- $203.5
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $19.03
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $22.2
- Potential payout
- $431.11
- Potential profit
- $408.91
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$13.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $83.51
- Potential payout
- $406.37
- Potential profit
- $322.86
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$38.75
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $287.26
- Potential payout
- $344.02
- Potential profit
- $56.76
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $57.26
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $310.19
- Potential payout
- $314.12
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.19
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $262.06
- Potential payout
- $277.31
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $31.06
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $248.17
- Potential payout
- $249.92
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- $33.17
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $203.35
- Potential payout
- $235.08
- Potential profit
- $31.74
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $24.34
Yes position
Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.26
- Potential profit
- $222.26
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $211.37
- Potential payout
- $212.54
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- User PnL
- $11.37
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $204.9
- Potential payout
- $206.03
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- $18.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.86
- Potential profit
- $180.86
- User PnL
- -$170.01
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.32
- Potential profit
- $178.32
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $162.82
- Potential payout
- $176.02
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.82
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $26.35
- Potential payout
- $173.94
- Potential profit
- $147.59
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $150.35
- Potential payout
- $169.89
- Potential profit
- $19.54
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $23.69
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $21.68
- Potential payout
- $156.57
- Potential profit
- $134.88
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $134.6
- Potential payout
- $155.61
- Potential profit
- $21.01
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $134.8
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $34.8
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $118.35
- Potential payout
- $125.17
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.35
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $117.37
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.11
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.77
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $128.49
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.59
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.29
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.43
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.44
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.94
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.86
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.64
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.42
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.64
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.99
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?No 92% 13.04 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 17.28 shares
- Will Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by June 30?No 92% 13.04 shares
- Will Trump praise Pelé by June 30?No 87% 16.09 shares
- Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?No 69% 15.94 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 75.6% 13.23 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.9% 16.27 shares
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 80.3% 16.19 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?No 73.5% 16.33 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 74.2% 28.3 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 87% 12.64 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 73% 56.16 shares