Polymarket Trader

KostyaDDD

0x4934b87b797da86247c7e5d826b1bf575ed35951

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $163.87
Realized PnL: $11.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.97K
Potential profit: $9.97K
User PnL: -$938.14

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $4.4K
User PnL: -$280

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$359.99

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $59.92
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.74K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $26.32

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $103.95
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$9.33

No position

Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$219.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$166.56

Yes position

Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$76.32

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

No position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $921.87
Potential profit: $921.87
User PnL: -$92.19

Yes position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.96
Potential profit: $799.96
User PnL: -$75.99

Yes position

Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.44
Potential profit: $608.44
User PnL: -$3.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.21

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $815.12

Yes position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $759.53

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $721

No position

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.19

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $534.07

No position

Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.7

No position

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.84

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.71

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.55

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.14

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $329.44

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $319.32

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.79

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.89

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $247.1

Yes position

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.52

No position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.13

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.51

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $203.78

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 25.1% 500 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 13% 10.95 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 13% 523.77 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 14% 499.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 12% 16 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15.1% 2,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 7.3% 689.87 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 9.2% 20 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 9% 374.63 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 10.3% 250 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Yes 45% 181.27 shares