Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $35.4
- Potential profit
- $32.48
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Polymarket Trader
tmistch45
0x4948517cc14d3ec6127a557be2874773be332e02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.97
- Realized PnL
- -$226.63
- Win rate
- 52.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $8.27
- Potential payout
- $31.82
- Potential profit
- $23.55
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $29.42
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $30.15
- Potential payout
- $30.8
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.73
- Potential profit
- $29.73
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $14.74
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $4.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Yes position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Jul 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?
Ends Dec 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
B8 position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.96
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
Labour wins 40-45% of votes?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.95
Yes position
Will Caleb Williams win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.73
Yes position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$172.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.27K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 97.4% 30.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes 22% 31.82 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.6% 31.25 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 35.4 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 22.99 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.6% 22.73 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 92% 7.61 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.6% 4,550.05 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 4,550.05 shares
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BB8 54% 9.26 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 37% 29.73 shares