No position
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $7.78K
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
hokagefighter
0x494af6fac10e250c8534932f7fc7b0e12d64f75e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.58
- Realized PnL
- $206.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $115.58
- Potential payout
- $585.21
- Potential profit
- $469.63
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $115.58
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.12
- Potential profit
- $41.12
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Down position
Meta (META) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.68
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
Up position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Down position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.7% 585.21 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes 99.3% 1,082.59 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.9% 1,062.75 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 98.8% 1,062.75 shares
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?No 5% 26.12 shares
- Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?Yes 94.5% 167.19 shares
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?No 63% 31.75 shares
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?No 7% 5 shares
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?Yes 90.3% 20 shares
- Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?Yes 97.4% 900 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?No 63% 35.07 shares
- Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 85% 22.34 shares