Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $764.64
- Potential profit
- $761.97
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.32
Polymarket Trader
MarcianoTech
0x495b69ab274086ede11af9e222d51563ca8a47b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $113.48
- Realized PnL
- -$742.3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $56.39
- Potential payout
- $279.85
- Potential profit
- $223.46
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$43.61
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $46.08
- Potential payout
- $133.61
- Potential profit
- $87.53
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $11.27
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.11
- Potential profit
- $16.11
- User PnL
- -$5.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.65
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.98
Dominican Rep. position
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.04
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.23
Venezuela position
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.36
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.79
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Venezuela position
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $6.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.95
South Korea position
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.84
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.8
Dominican Rep. position
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$194.42
Venezuela position
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$245
Yes position
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$265.09
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$999.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 42.3% 23.62 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 96.3% 102 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 4% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 24% 20.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 98% 26.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 19% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETDown 80% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETDown 39% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown 6% 50.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown 14% 35.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown 33% 15.15 shares