Polymarket Trader

Leshem

0x496ad64ee475bbc9cb2a8e78b844b1bdf98cd78d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $214.82
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $13.33
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $983.33
Potential profit: $981.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $877.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $485.8
Potential profit: $468.61
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $14.2

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $18.85
Potential payout: $327.87
Potential profit: $309.02
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $46.64
Potential payout: $321.67
Potential profit: $275.02
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $173.91
Potential profit: $133.91
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $20.77
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $133.08
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $12.36
Potential payout: $128.73
Potential profit: $116.37
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: $9.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $45.87
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $12.78
Potential payout: $49.14
Potential profit: $36.37
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$7.86

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $33.26
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $30.67
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $30.67
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $20.44
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.17
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 5.7% 52.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 128.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 485.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 1,159.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 880 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 983.33 shares
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 173.91 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 13% 153.85 shares