No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
0x496d...7439
0x496d05f52c2f70ad000a7431cba4bf43e65f7439
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.05
- Realized PnL
- -$15.76
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Nets
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.9% 1.32 shares
- Pistons vs. NetsPistons 89.1% 1.11 shares
- Pistons vs. NetsPistons 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No 0.2% 100.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No 14.9% 100.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown 62% 4.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp 42% 7.04 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No 99.7% 2.01 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94.2% 1.06 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 83% 6.02 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes 62% 4.76 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes 63% 4.76 shares