0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.66
Potential profit: $135.66
User PnL: -$21.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 46°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.64
Potential profit: $123.64
User PnL: -$19.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.79
Potential profit: $119.79
User PnL: -$26.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.97
Potential profit: $116.97
User PnL: -$23.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $31.58
Potential payout: $116.96
Potential profit: $85.38
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $32.13
Potential payout: $116.84
Potential profit: $84.71
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $34.25
Potential payout: $116.1
Potential profit: $81.85
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $33.61
Potential payout: $115.89
Potential profit: $82.28
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $36.23
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $78.78
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.86
Potential profit: $108.86
User PnL: -$25.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.1
Potential profit: $102.1
User PnL: -$24.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $32.24
Potential payout: $93.47
Potential profit: $61.23
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.62
Potential profit: $91.62
User PnL: -$23.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.66
Potential profit: $86.66
User PnL: -$21.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $17.81
Potential payout: $82.85
Potential profit: $65.04
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $5.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $17.82
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $63.18
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $26.76
Potential payout: $79.89
Potential profit: $53.12
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.74
Potential profit: $79.74
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.66
Potential profit: $79.66
User PnL: -$22.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.98
Potential profit: $73.98
User PnL: -$11.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $18.59
Potential payout: $71.51
Potential profit: $52.92
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.18
Potential profit: $71.18
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $23.6
Potential payout: $70.46
Potential profit: $46.86
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5?