Polymarket Trader

Ratbert

0x4970e5f2b1127f7ede98364919f375e03131ad8b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.81
Realized PnL: $514.54
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.99
Potential profit: $301.99
User PnL: -$81.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.81
Potential profit: $257.81
User PnL: -$98.61

Yes position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.34
Potential profit: $240.34
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.46
Potential profit: $126.46
User PnL: -$2

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.6
Potential profit: $124.6
User PnL: -$26

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.11
Potential profit: $85.11
User PnL: -$40

Boy position

Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.91
Potential profit: $50.91
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $11.77
Potential payout: $35.68
Potential profit: $23.9
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$9.23

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $15.76
Potential profit: $15.72
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Solo Leveling' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.55

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.85

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.95

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.43

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.05

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.39

No position

Will a hurricane form by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

No position

Will Prince Andrew be named in the Epstein survivors' list?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

No position

Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will Stephen Hawking be named in the Epstein survivors' list?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Donald Trump be named in the Epstein survivors' list?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

X relaunches Vine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Down 29% 3.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Down 38.2% 257.81 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Yes 58.9% 35.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Up 27% 301.99 shares
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Yes 31.7% 15.76 shares
Kraken IPO in 2025?

Yes 0.8% 240.34 shares
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Yes 19% 78.95 shares
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

No 34.2% 116.85 shares
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

No 65% 191.37 shares
X relaunches Vine in 2025?

No 87% 7.14 shares
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

No 69.8% 25.97 shares
Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?

No 81% 5.06 shares