Polymarket Trader

CardinalX

0x4974a18077ae43650531656094a9295da2e5d913

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.4
Realized PnL: -$16.32
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.4
Potential profit: $185.4
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $114.94
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $90.09
Potential profit: $60.59
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $65.98
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $11.67
Potential payout: $62.89
Potential profit: $51.23
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $37.36
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 56.1%
Current value: $15.82
Potential payout: $28.22
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 1.78x
User PnL: $5.82

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $16.88
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$6.04

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.96
Potential payout: $13.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.96

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.49
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Multiplier: 4.50x
User PnL: -$3.63

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 33.4% 49.01 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Yes 18.4% 34.84 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 26% 19.23 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 8% 26.31 shares
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 5.4% 185.4 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 51% 17.24 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39.9% 25.06 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 87% 11.49 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 61% 16.39 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.9% 62.89 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 78.13 shares