Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Polymarket Trader
Sylvie344
0x497649e70b7e353cf12cd6c16d1ffecf6197c4cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 26 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 9% 6.14 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 97.8% 36 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 97.7% 36 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 51% 21 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 52% 21 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 38 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 55% 61 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 84% 16 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 9% 43 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 36 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 93% 10 shares