Polymarket Trader

0x497e20daCE2F38059b11cBc23272Eb492DC44d88-1777192620104

0x497e20dace2f38059b11cbc23272eb492dc44d88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.72
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.05
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $8.69
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?

1.2% 82.64 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 6.06 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 41% 2.44 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 24% 4.17 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 6.4% 15.63 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.7% 5.99 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 10.8% 9.26 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Yes 45% 2.22 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares