Polymarket Trader

0x4982F3366663C509Fb00fd8790Acb97DB7FdFe01-1768207224612

0x4982f3366663c509fb00fd8790acb97db7fdfe01

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $573.5
Realized PnL: $8.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $3.84K
User PnL: -$199.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$366.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$162.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$174.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $780.33
Potential profit: $780.33
User PnL: -$577.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $759.09
Potential profit: $759.09
User PnL: -$280.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $755.1
Potential profit: $755.1
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $745.12
Potential profit: $745.12
User PnL: -$397

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $730.29
Potential profit: $730.29
User PnL: -$119.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $725.11
Potential profit: $725.11
User PnL: -$145.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.53
Potential profit: $724.53
User PnL: -$14.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $708.75
Potential profit: $708.75
User PnL: -$217.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.41
Potential profit: $700.41
User PnL: -$40.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.95
Potential profit: $687.95
User PnL: -$84.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660.46
Potential profit: $660.46
User PnL: -$150.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $573.5
Potential payout: $655.43
Potential profit: $81.93
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $12.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640.37
Potential profit: $640.37
User PnL: -$473.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.87
Potential profit: $639.87
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $614.46
Potential profit: $614.46
User PnL: -$510

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.58
Potential profit: $599.58
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593.05
Potential profit: $593.05
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.84
Potential profit: $548.84
User PnL: -$205.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.98
Potential profit: $540.98
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $651.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $584.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.65

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $435.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

No 87% 113.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

No 86% 160.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

No 85% 381.64 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.1% 8,897.54 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.1% 3,105.59 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

46.9% 1,159.43 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

44.1% 223.02 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

43.8% 112.26 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

44.7% 110.06 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?

37.9% 764.12 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 4,900 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 60% 3.33 shares