Polymarket Trader

Lolly99

0x498b19d3e784580fd9a8249a16b48b2b6355c8a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.64
Realized PnL: $165.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $156.49
Potential profit: $150.31
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$8.82

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $83.35
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $87.72
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $59.78
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $35.93
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $37.59
Potential profit: $30.56
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $16.83
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $11.81
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.81

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.13

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.1

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.16

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.91

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.57

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.46

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 7% 85.71 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 63.29 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

No 9% 11.11 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 25.25 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 39.68 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 37.59 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 87.72 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 89.29 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Yes 13% 44.64 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 71.42 shares