Polymarket Trader

RedGhost

0x498c1cfe07e19fa703c86c829216bdd7c2fdc0c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.99K
Realized PnL: $11.3K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.2%
Current value: $3.61K
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $2.39K
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $4.6K
User PnL: -$22.81

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$2.24K

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $380
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $620
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$315.51

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$244

Rockets position

Spurs vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.25
Potential profit: $355.25
User PnL: -$202.49

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$33

Shifters position

LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.6
Potential profit: $134.6
User PnL: -$91.53

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Heat

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

No position

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Celtics position

Trail Blazers vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.21

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

OMalley position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.2

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.15

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58.6%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.2%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 0.5% 4,600 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

No 97.1% 270 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 69.4% 883.55 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 27.5% 992.4 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 26.6% 1,000 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 31.5% 110 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 18.8% 949.36 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 18% 1,110 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 17% 2,187.1 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 17% 3,327.52 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

No 99.3% 2,111.22 shares
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99% 2,019.6 shares