No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $712.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $787.5
Polymarket Trader
Cheremsha
0x498dc13059f1011e82a26ad706afe45fe8dd3e20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.98K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.33K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $226.67
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $440
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $49.64
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $201.06
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $147.7
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $96.33
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $563.91
- Potential payout
- $659.55
- Potential profit
- $95.63
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $49.47
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $504.6
- Potential payout
- $513.85
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $129.49
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $250.41
- Potential payout
- $253.71
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $60.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.29
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.84
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.2
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.64
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.79
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.71
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $127.08
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.62
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.84
No position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500.09
No position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$862.21
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 66% 242.93 shares
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?No 81% 484.53 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?No 10.1% 18 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?No 17.1% 18 shares
- Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No 4.9% 2,777.76 shares
- Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No 35% 135.9 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 81% 354.06 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 7,500 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 78% 650 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 73% 13 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 86% 2,325.64 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No 66% 16.94 shares