Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $127
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.87K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$8
Polymarket Trader
Occidentaliste
0x49929092c94564645683fcabd5649cd2218e9cd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.45K
- Realized PnL
- $3.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $29
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $946.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $53.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $77.5
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $973.23
- Potential profit
- $973.23
- User PnL
- -$214.11
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $755.3
- Potential payout
- $830
- Potential profit
- $74.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.1
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $799.97
- Potential profit
- $699.98
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$95.59
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $636.96
- Potential payout
- $699.95
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $581.75
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $68.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $82.25
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $27.94
- Potential payout
- $614.04
- Potential profit
- $586.1
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $519
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $59
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $554.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $517.48
- Potential profit
- $517.48
- User PnL
- -$300.14
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $38.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $461.25
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $338
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $62
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $258
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $142
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.56
- Potential profit
- $356.56
- User PnL
- -$125.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $349.48
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- User PnL
- $90.48
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $67.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $232.05
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$17.96
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$194.4
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.4%
- Current value
- $63.86
- Potential payout
- $299.11
- Potential profit
- $235.25
- Multiplier
- 4.68x
- User PnL
- $30.36
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $25.44
- Potential payout
- $248.15
- Potential profit
- $222.71
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.35
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $237.3
No position
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.94
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.02
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.32
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.23
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.75
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.05
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.5
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.02
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.73
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.48
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.1
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.04
No position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.6
No position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.5
No position
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.91
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.09
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $61.61
76ers position
76ers vs. Pacers
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 499.97 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 700 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 149.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 350.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 26% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 25% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 85% 482.93 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 39% 1,041.97 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 53% 233.02 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 62.1% 241.73 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 38.4% 1,041.97 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 42.9% 233.02 shares