Polymarket Trader

0x499d...4222

0x499d6cba377acf539221e7ba8f71054d891a4222

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $35.71
Realized PnL: $90.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $4.67
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $2.76
Potential payout: $3.54
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Mexico leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Second half draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.61

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

New Zealand leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Jordan leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Uzbekistan leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Türkiye vs. United States: Second half draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Second half draw?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Mexico leading at halftime?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 63% 1.59 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Yes 17.1% 5.83 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
France vs. Sweden: Second half draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Take First Corner

France 72% 1.39 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Second half draw?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares