Polymarket Trader

0x49A1Fc66b4dEbD488cab43D19788c6cda3008C8A-1760120673112

0x49a1fc66b4debd488cab43d19788c6cda3008c8a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.79
Realized PnL: -$12.76
Win rate: 36.4%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $16.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $183.9
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $105.67
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$3.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.92
Potential profit: $82.92
User PnL: -$5.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.2
Potential profit: $35.2
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $7.52
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.85
Potential profit: $5.85
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Up 74% 3.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Up 61% 3.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Down 33% 6.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Up 36% 2.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Down 68% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Down 38% 5.26 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 112.36 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 17.1% 5.85 shares
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 7.2% 13.89 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 12.5% 8 shares
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 13.4% 7.46 shares