No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.07K
- Potential payout
- $16.09K
- Potential profit
- $24.14
- User PnL
- $313.56
Polymarket Trader
T123
0x49ae18c82dab9fd3a2bb84d0a96c3ded503ff3ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.56K
- Realized PnL
- $24.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.5K
- Potential payout
- $8.51K
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- User PnL
- $166.64
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $90.47
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $64.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $841.07
- Potential payout
- $929.36
- Potential profit
- $88.29
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $42.57
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $805.46
- Potential payout
- $824
- Potential profit
- $18.54
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.53
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $24.97
- Potential payout
- $179
- Potential profit
- $154.03
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
No position
Will the US add more than 250,000 jobs in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Iran strike on US military before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
AOC pregnant in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.68
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.26
No position
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.76
No position
ECB rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.47
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.67
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.21
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.01
No position
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.7
Yes position
Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.77
No position
Iran strike on US military in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.01
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 170 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 208.33 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?No 96% 824 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94.8% 1,450.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 2,837.01 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 47 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 98.9% 3,500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 3,500 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 98.7% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 5,000 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 98.7% 85.11 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 98.7% 1,013.67 shares