Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $686.35
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$47.88
Polymarket Trader
ChowComesBack
0x49bbe046f3cc29f971c89a14b0c8e1f8750caaf9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $55.2
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $424.8
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$34.77
No position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $423.66
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $36.34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$26.74
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $47.46
- Potential payout
- $447.72
- Potential profit
- $400.26
- Multiplier
- 9.43x
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $8.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $237.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $241.36
- Potential payout
- $247.29
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $155.63
- Potential payout
- $180.96
- Potential profit
- $25.33
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $90.97
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $47.08
- Potential payout
- $50.08
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $44.1
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.96
Yes position
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.12
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.67
Yes position
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.62
No position
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.32
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.44
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.17
No position
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.43
No position
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.68
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.26
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.95
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.54
No position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.61
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.5
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.06
Yes position
Will fewer than 200 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.77
No position
Will Nike say "Direct to Consumer / DTC" during earnings call?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.05
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.52
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.5
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.56
No position
Will Sage Ahrens-Nichols be voted off of Survivor season 49 on December 3?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?Yes 9.2% 45 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?Yes 9.2% 139 shares
- Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?No 97% 63.33 shares
- Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in June?No 87% 121.32 shares
- Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in June?No 84% 50 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 97% 25 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 95% 20 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 88% 6 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 86.9% 93.97 shares
- Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in June?No 85% 100 shares
- Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?No 91.1% 100 shares
- Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in June?No 86% 50 shares