Polymarket Trader

Alexinus

0x49caa430ad69b96e852baf05bffebc2ab5c0bb0f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $482.78
Realized PnL: $2.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.2%
Current value: $192.47
Potential payout: $435.95
Potential profit: $243.48
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $89.39

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $158
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $242
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $99.41
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $18.24
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $21.24
Potential payout: $60.27
Potential profit: $39.02
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $10.24

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.63
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $41.85
Potential profit: $37.65
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.74
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $23.4
Potential profit: $21.89
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $9.21
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $8.67
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $8.34
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.68

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.95

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.76

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.05

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.89

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.1

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.48

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.12

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.13

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.61

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.26

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.34

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.2

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.22

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.41

Yes position

Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.83

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 94% 26.6 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 91.6% 27.29 shares
BNB Up or Down - July 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 92.8% 26.95 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 96% 26.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 92% 27.17 shares
XRP Up or Down - July 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 97% 25.77 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 98% 25.51 shares
BNB Up or Down - July 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 98.2% 25.46 shares
BNB Up or Down - July 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Up 97% 25.77 shares
BNB Up or Down - July 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Up 94.8% 26.37 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Up 94% 26.6 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Up 98% 25.51 shares