Polymarket Trader

mitia

0x49e4bd9a0d4d9a764844046212c173bc6650131e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.17
Realized PnL: -$8.54
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $32.3
Potential profit: $31.31
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Current value: $6.41
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.6
Multiplier: 4.68x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.81
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.95
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 38.8%
Current value: $11.63
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.38
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $8.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $29.73
Potential profit: $26.65
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.3
Potential profit: $13.37
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $9.1
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

ENJOY position

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-In

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

FaZe Up Next position

Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group B

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Endless Journey position

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-In

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?

Yes 54% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 14.5% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 32.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 7% 14.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 11% 9.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Yes 99.6% 19.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-In

Endless Journey 23% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-In

Endless Journey 32% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 0.9% 10 shares