Polymarket Trader

DAFdeSade

0x49e643189c07a40bb356921ddccf819d40eacd39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.85
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$42.88

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.33
Potential profit: $383.33
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315.12
Potential profit: $315.12
User PnL: -$61.52

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $8.46
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $299.23
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.09
Potential profit: $281.09
User PnL: -$69.02

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.02
Potential profit: $272.02
User PnL: -$27.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229
Potential profit: $229
User PnL: -$19.61

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $224.89
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$7.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.97
Potential profit: $169.97
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.01
Potential profit: $156.01
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.21
Potential profit: $145.21
User PnL: -$81.32

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.71
Potential profit: $143.71
User PnL: -$39.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.24

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.53

Yes position

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.75

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.43

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.12

No position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.23

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.17

Yes position

Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.41

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Gaza position

Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 600 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 307.69 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 4.4% 227.27 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Yes 4.9% 102.04 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Yes 6% 36.33 shares
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

Yes 3% 66.67 shares
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 105.26 shares
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 95.24 shares
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares