Polymarket Trader

RisottoPasta

0x49f206f4fb2210a28af4795e4e0b6532cf0bd7b4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.71K
Realized PnL: $64.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $472.09
Potential payout: $9.84K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: $185.62

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $6.03K
Potential payout: $9.8K
Potential profit: $3.77K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$2.79K

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $939.38

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $81
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $4.07K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$48.81

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $71.86
Potential payout: $3.99K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$52.89

Yes position

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $495.49
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $231.23

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $55.64
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.04K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$58.02

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $65.66
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $16.02

No position

GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $215.24

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $535.76
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.12
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $5.34

No position

Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $148.61
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $156.71
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$279.77

Yes position

Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $538.56
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $685.44
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$183.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $2.97

No position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $220
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $780
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$280

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $614.64
Potential payout: $736.09
Potential profit: $121.46
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $443.63
Potential payout: $611.91
Potential profit: $168.28
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $530.7
Potential payout: $610
Potential profit: $79.3
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $526.23
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $13.77
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $506.43
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$21.78

Yes position

Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $228.83
Potential payout: $508.51
Potential profit: $279.68
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$58.41

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $20.71
Potential payout: $505
Potential profit: $484.3
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $19.19
Potential payout: $505
Potential profit: $485.81
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$6.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88K

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65K

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6K

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.88K

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.68K

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

No position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.11K

Boston Red Sox position

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

GTZ Esports position

LoL: GTZ Esports vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Chicago White Sox position

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Sinners position

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Dplus KIA position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04K

New York Mets position

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $955

New York Mets position

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Under 46% 123 shares
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 4,500 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Austria 74% 3,773.52 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Under 52% 202.92 shares
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

No 9.8% 1,556.14 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

No 60% 123 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

No 32% 1,000 shares
Will Lamine Yamal be in Spain's Starting 11?

Yes 7% 41.99 shares
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

Yes 6.4% 234.8 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 2.5% 515.62 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 6.1% 515.62 shares
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 45% 10 shares