Polymarket Trader

CubaLibra

0x49f3dcb7387f397217de65e7458dcff6e10076fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $139.3
Realized PnL: $15.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.02K
Potential profit: $379.02K
User PnL: -$11.47K

No position

Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$1.22K

No position

Will Merck & Co Inc (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bitcoin above 66,600 on March 31, 11AM ET?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.06
Potential profit: $634.06
User PnL: -$627.86

Yes position

Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 18, 12PM ET?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $480
User PnL: -$474.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.37
Potential profit: $331.37
User PnL: -$9.31

Yes position

Ethereum above 1,700 on June 18, 12PM ET?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288
Potential profit: $288
User PnL: -$284.98

Down position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.39
Potential profit: $260.39
User PnL: -$0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.72
Potential profit: $233.72
User PnL: -$231.38

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$151

No position

Will Israel not strike Yemen by 15 ET?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.13
Potential profit: $168.13
User PnL: -$13.69

No position

Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.43
Potential profit: $166.43
User PnL: -$166.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.77
Potential profit: $158.77
User PnL: -$4.85

Negative position

Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $139.3
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $0.7
User PnL: -$0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.62
Potential profit: $136.62
User PnL: -$0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.74
Potential profit: $122.74
User PnL: -$115.76

Negative position

Ethereum ETF Flows on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $113
User PnL: -$111.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$78.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.97
Potential profit: $100.97
User PnL: -$98.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Bitcoin above 74,400 on April 13, 7PM ET?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.93
Potential profit: $99.93
User PnL: -$98.93

No position

Ethereum above 2,365 on April 21, 11PM ET?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.75
Potential profit: $98.75
User PnL: -$97.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $93
User PnL: -$77.19

No position

Bitcoin above 79,200 on April 26, 9PM ET?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.72
Potential profit: $92.72
User PnL: -$91.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

No position

Will Israel strike Yemen on September 9 ET?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.62

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.46

Yes position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.35

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.59

No position

Houthi strike on Israel before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.7

No position

Bitcoin above $115K on August 21 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.73

Yes position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.07

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.57

No position

Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.5

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.58

No position

Bitcoin above $117K on August 18 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.02

No position

Israel strikes Syria by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.18

No position

Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.24

No position

Will Israel strike Syria on July 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.92

No position

Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.5

No position

Will Israel strike Syria on Monday September 1?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.42

Negative position

Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.82

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.61

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $77.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 19, 12AM ET?

No 98% 5 shares
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 19, 12AM ET?

Yes 99.9% 180 shares
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 19, 12AM ET?

Yes 99.9% 91.99 shares
Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 18?

Negative 99.9% 115 shares
Ethereum ETF Flows on June 18?

Negative 99% 15 shares
Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 18?

Negative 99% 25 shares
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 18, 11PM ET?

No 99.9% 109.99 shares
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 18, 11PM ET?

No 99.9% 115 shares
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 18?

No 99.7% 100 shares
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 18, 11PM ET?

No 99.9% 115 shares
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 18, 11PM ET?

No 99.9% 115 shares
Ethereum above 1,780 on June 18, 11PM ET?

No 99.9% 115 shares