Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Polymarket Trader
BTC5MINWINLOSE
0x4a073859013270247c8002e1e17999e04383de1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.22
- Realized PnL
- $199.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $18.51
- Potential profit
- $16.57
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $9.31
- Potential payout
- $18.24
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $8.31
Yes position
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.18
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $7.89
- Potential profit
- $4.93
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
No position
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.57
N
No position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $6.62
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $6.56
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Under position
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $5.92
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Team Nemesis position
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $5.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $4.68
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
N
No position
DR Congo to score first vs. Portugal?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.86
- Potential payout
- $4.63
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $4.46
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $4.4
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $4.34
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $4.25
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 22 be between 85 and 90?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.33
Over position
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Leviatán Esports position
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Scotland position
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Adrian Mannarino position
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
G2 position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Over position
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 78% 5.44 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 88% 4.25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 6.67 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No 82% 6.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 87% 4.4 shares
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Under 92% 5.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 4.68 shares
- Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?No 54% 5.56 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 86% 3.49 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 40% 7.5 shares
- DR Congo to score first vs. Portugal?No 83% 4.63 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?No 66% 6.62 shares