Polymarket Trader

0x4a139Eaf194936a8eEb1492Dd4766FEB49c7d3EC-1777117468440

0x4a139eaf194936a8eeb1492dd4766feb49c7d3ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.78
Realized PnL: $94.01
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.71
Potential profit: $64.71
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.14
Potential profit: $25.14
User PnL: -$9.55

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $12.02
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $11.79
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $7.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.45
Potential profit: $21.45
User PnL: -$14.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.46
Potential profit: $20.46
User PnL: -$9.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.51
Potential profit: $18.51
User PnL: -$10.92

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.36
Potential profit: $16.36
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.96
Potential profit: $6.96
User PnL: -$0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $6.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 49.9% 10.02 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 49.9% 40.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 78% 6.41 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Yes 79% 6.33 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Down 60% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Down 55% 18.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 62% 8.06 shares