Polymarket Trader

SicLuceatLux

0x4a1cc7347fdcb31862f975a97b00f1af7277d5eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $438.38
Realized PnL: $3.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.9K
Potential profit: $26.9K
User PnL: -$49.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$24.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $795.8
Potential profit: $795.8
User PnL: -$24.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $719.39
Potential profit: $719.39
User PnL: -$24.91

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.8
Potential profit: $499.8
User PnL: -$24.99

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.68
Potential profit: $224.68
User PnL: -$125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.38
Potential profit: $190.38
User PnL: -$24.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.5
Potential profit: $178.5
User PnL: -$24.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $125.81
Potential payout: $125.88
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $25.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $99.41
Potential payout: $125.04
Potential profit: $25.63
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $117.09
Potential payout: $117.15
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $17.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $96.07
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $16.29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$3.93

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $103.82
User PnL: -$41.71

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.24
Potential profit: $76.24
User PnL: -$24.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.98
Potential profit: $71.98
User PnL: -$24.99

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.84
Potential profit: $70.84
User PnL: -$49.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.54
Potential profit: $67.54
User PnL: -$24.99

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $59.98
User PnL: -$24.75

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.96
Potential profit: $58.96
User PnL: -$29.23

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.88
Potential profit: $58.88
User PnL: -$33.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.17
Potential profit: $53.17
User PnL: -$24.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.05

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.19

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 3, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.91

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 10, 9AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.82

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.82

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 11, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.04

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.87

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.77

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.39

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.82

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.68

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.96

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 10, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.92

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.36

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.97

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 13, 3AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.95

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.8

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.85

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.03

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 11, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.69

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.33

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?

No 89% 112.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 10?

No 80% 125.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?

No 85.4% 117.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?

No 79.4% 125.88 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Down 32% 30.63 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Up 58% 16.55 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Down 65% 14.43 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 86% 11.26 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Up 68.6% 13.64 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Up 38% 25.89 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Down 55% 17.93 shares
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Up 63% 15.71 shares