Polymarket Trader

NFTS

0x4a1d02d6afd90517c504512d8325d032ad3a0704

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $237.24K
Realized PnL: $238.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $46.28K
Potential payout: $236.74K
Potential profit: $190.46K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$72.09K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $190.46K
Potential payout: $236.74K
Potential profit: $46.28K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $72.09K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $497.19
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.15K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $12.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.08K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $947.64

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $796.18

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.18

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.46

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.97

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.5

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $205.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.27

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.86

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 3,642.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Down 71% 11.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Down 50% 122 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 3,262.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 96% 69.99 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

No 99.7% 234,920.5 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

No 99.7% 100 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

No 99.7% 40 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.4% 2,123.9 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.3% 2,023.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Down 38% 9.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Down 25% 9.91 shares