Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408K
- Potential profit
- $408K
- User PnL
- -$596.09
Polymarket Trader
troim
0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.3K
- Realized PnL
- $200.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.36K
- Potential profit
- $105.36K
- User PnL
- -$164.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.27K
- Potential profit
- $70.27K
- User PnL
- -$13.33K
Yes position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $60K
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $60K
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $60K
- User PnL
- -$918.65
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.73K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $44.28K
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$8.46K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$4.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$775.57
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.81K
- Potential profit
- $38.81K
- User PnL
- -$2.41K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $35K
- User PnL
- -$6.18K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$1.87K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.73K
- Potential profit
- $29.73K
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$547.22
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $4.26K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $18.75K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $21.97K
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- $10.36K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $3.67K
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $18.33K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- $779.1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Current value
- $2.68K
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $18.32K
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.39K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44K
No position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.69K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87K
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.43K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $4.34K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 34% 754.98 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 73% 1,000 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 87% 2,000 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 16.9% 783.85 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 48% 1,250.74 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 7% 2,999.78 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 82% 11.64 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 50% 93.11 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 23.5% 2,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.2% 28.72 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.8% 26,889.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.9% 1,634.36 shares