Polymarket Trader

0x4a3b1840c060CF9a64cddaD1ECb158D35b62401E-1768130157232

0x4a3b1840c060cf9a64cddad1ecb158d35b62401e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.9
Realized PnL: $582.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $4.51K
User PnL: -$11.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.67
Potential profit: $24.67
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.86
Potential profit: $20.86
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$9.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.5
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $15.54
Potential payout: $15.56
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $14.9
Potential payout: $15.32
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15.14
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.56
Potential profit: $14.56
User PnL: -$6.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $10.41
User PnL: -$4.68

No position

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98
Potential profit: $4.98
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: -$0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.58

No position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" or "Midnight Hammer" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?

Yes 60% 7.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?

Yes 59% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Yes 99.9% 15.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?

Yes 31% 15.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?

Yes 41% 14.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?

Yes 58% 15.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Yes 60% 15.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?

Yes 43.7% 14.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?

Yes 44.9% 15.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Yes 27% 15.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?

Yes 51.7% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 7?

Yes 24% 10 shares