Polymarket Trader

SeanBarton8631

0x4a40e84ab44bd71a2bd7d9f4f6592c90a141904b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.09K
Realized PnL: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $825
Potential payout: $825
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $288.75

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $599.77
Potential payout: $736
Potential profit: $136.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $58.07

Yes position

Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $619
Potential payout: $619
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $507.58

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590
Potential profit: $590
User PnL: -$395.3

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$103.23

Yes position

Will Melania say "Knowledge is power" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273
Potential profit: $273
User PnL: -$60.06

Under position

Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $235
User PnL: -$209.15

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $113
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will 20 to 39 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $96
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Salsa Tekila win the Orderly trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$5.48

Yes position

US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $58
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$5.77

Yes position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$16.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$42.6

Yes position

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.18

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296

Yes position

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: $262.8

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.76

Yes position

Will Jayden Schaper win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Etc." or "Et cetera" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.66

Yes position

Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.95

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.72

No position

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.32

Yes position

Will FrankResearcher win the competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.51

No position

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $37.32

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $36.54

No position

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.65

Yes position

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $31.67

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.01

No position

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.68

Yes position

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.76

No position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.9%
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: $26.07

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.99

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.51

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?

Yes 73% 34 shares
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Yes 28% 63 shares
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 58.4% 24 shares
US bank failure by December 31?

No 41% 63 shares
US bank failure by December 31?

No 42% 63 shares
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?

Yes 36% 8 shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 65% 293 shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 77% 293 shares
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Yes 18% 60 shares
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

No 70% 584 shares
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?

No 86% 155 shares
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?

No 76% 155 shares