Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.99K
- Potential profit
- $25.99K
- User PnL
- -$11.42K
Polymarket Trader
0x4a41Ab9CCfa65105118453B65Bfe8cb943A1242a-1773356916406
0x4a41ab9ccfa65105118453b65bfe8cb943a1242a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $61.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.34K
- Potential profit
- $20.34K
- User PnL
- -$485.35
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $13.95K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $334.99
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.66K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$764.98
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $49.9
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$369.67
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$629.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$310
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.05
- Potential profit
- $154.05
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.99
- Potential profit
- $61.99
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.67K
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18K
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $979.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $979.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $736.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 98.6% 3,007.51 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 40.6% 13,306.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp 28% 142.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 48% 668.94 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 67% 654.03 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 70.8% 186.58 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 36% 2,173.97 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes 5% 7,575.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes 10.3% 7,575.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes 13.6% 5,050.12 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 63% 1,000 shares