sirkomander

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $748.13
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $339.43
Potential profit: $336.71
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$6.19

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $281.89
Potential profit: $278.5
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.26
Potential profit: $260.26
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $254.62
Potential profit: $252.46
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$21.84

Yes position

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $162.34
Potential profit: $160.31
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $161.12
Potential profit: $154.44
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$7.31

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.31
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100.46
Potential profit: $100.11
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $95.46
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$5.19

Yes position

Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $89.1
Potential profit: $88.12
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.63
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $58.99
Potential profit: $55.24
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.08
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $50.84
Potential profit: $50.15
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.02
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 25.1%
Current value: $10.67
Potential payout: $42.51
Potential profit: $31.84
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.88
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.76
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.95

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.45

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.58

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.61

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $21.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.13

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.66

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

ThunderTalk Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.65

No position

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $12.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.87

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

Yes position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Yes position

Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?

Implied probability: 26.9%
Multiplier: 3.72x
User PnL: $7.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.9%
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?