Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $611
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $689
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$331.25
Polymarket Trader
0x4A5B9f0d75328410F6d29b7D189e9009c5c7d055-1730855707969
0x4a5b9f0d75328410f6d29b7d189e9009c5c7d055
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $994.4
- Realized PnL
- $452.97
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$259
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $620
- User PnL
- -$502.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $383.4
- Potential payout
- $385.91
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- User PnL
- $103.97
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$168
Over position
Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$128.4
Moicano position
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicano
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $129.99
- User PnL
- -$67.59
Pico position
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.06
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.07
Chimaev position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.5
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
Dern position
Dern vs. Jandiroba
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.1
Procházka position
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.9
Talbott position
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Lima
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.4
No position
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.78
Notre Dame position
USC vs. Notre Dame
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Page position
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.62
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.26
Yes position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.08
Yes position
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$153.06
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Chelsea wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$157.18
Rountree Jr. position
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$239.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 37% 700 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 51% 400 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 72.4% 1,184.9 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 81% 620 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 97.5% 512.82 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 87.6% 342.4 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 84.5% 355.17 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Yes 70.1% 500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 72% 37.7 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 72% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 73% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 71% 35.91 shares