Polymarket Trader

Lufelola

0x4a695874b7791dc042f2a1c9df629e40b132228f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41K
Realized PnL: $1.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $811.71
Potential payout: $7.06K
Potential profit: $6.25K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$822.92

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $96.38
Potential payout: $820.22
Potential profit: $723.85
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $23.38

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $60.01
Potential payout: $816.51
Potential profit: $756.5
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$28.99

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $50.19
Potential payout: $816.09
Potential profit: $765.9
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$20.81

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $150.12
Potential payout: $813.66
Potential profit: $663.54
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $19.12

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $110.81
Potential payout: $811.76
Potential profit: $700.96
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$27.19

No position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.31
Potential profit: $168.31
User PnL: -$114.3

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.78
Potential profit: $152.78
User PnL: -$55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.15
Potential profit: $150.15
User PnL: -$100

No position

Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.84
Potential profit: $140.84
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.71
Potential profit: $138.71
User PnL: -$85

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.1
Potential profit: $131.1
User PnL: -$46.65

No position

Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.39
Potential profit: $126.39
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $126
User PnL: -$71.82

No position

Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.39
Potential profit: $124.39
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $92.21
Potential payout: $122.13
Potential profit: $29.92
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $12.21

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $41.18
Potential payout: $117.67
Potential profit: $76.48
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.07
Potential profit: $116.07
User PnL: -$65

No position

Will Powell say "Money" during speech on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.89
Potential profit: $115.89
User PnL: -$75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $91.72

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.54

Yes position

Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.5

Yes position

Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.58

Yes position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.88

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.64

No position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Turkish president on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.89

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.46

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.84

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 3?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.63

No position

Will JD Vance clap between 90–99 times during the State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.98

No position

Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.15

No position

French election called by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.64

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.62

No position

Will Trump say "Commonwealth" during the UK state banquet on September 17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.36

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.17

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $42.37

Yes position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.68

Yes position

FDA approves Sanofi’s Rilzabrutinib for immune thrombocytopenia?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 65.5% 122.13 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

No 54% 37.04 shares
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 52% 57.69 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

No 43% 25.58 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 69% 111.59 shares
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 109.52 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 30% 117.67 shares
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 62.5 shares
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 101.56 shares
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 106.56 shares
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 81.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 91% 15.68 shares