Polymarket Trader

testing123123123

0x4a74423861266dd7d353ca28827f83bc4dcfd69e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.71K
Realized PnL: $8.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $9.79K
Potential profit: $7.87K
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: -$2.98K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $7.87K
Potential payout: $9.79K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.98K

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $677.46
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$71.86

Yes position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$63.8

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $175

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $206.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $793.5
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$54.5

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $836.46
Potential payout: $847.91
Potential profit: $11.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $200.53

No position

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $710.98
Potential payout: $752.36
Potential profit: $41.38
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $49.89

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $599.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $0.9
User PnL: $99.1

No position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$135

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$90.87

Broncos position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319
Potential profit: $319
User PnL: -$121.98

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $249.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $29.63

Lions position

Spread: Lions (-2.5)

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227
Potential profit: $227
User PnL: -$124.85

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $212.62
Potential payout: $212.62
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.64

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $171.67
Potential payout: $204
Potential profit: $32.33
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $26.83

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $199.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $25.5

Rams position

Bears vs. Rams

Ends Sep 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$69.2

Chargers position

Spread: Chargers (-6.5)

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$72

Giants position

Giants vs. Saints

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$50

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Ravens

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$28.3

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.06
Potential profit: $100.06
User PnL: -$82.74

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Falcons

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657.86

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.4

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.56

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.18

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $211.3

Up position

Meta (META) Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.5

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.49

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $166.17

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.5

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.61

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.49

Chiefs position

Bills vs. Chiefs

Ends Jan 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.74

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.95

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.58

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Jets

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.91

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.41

Bills position

Dolphins vs. Bills

Ends Sep 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

No 87% 212.62 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 71% 195.23 shares
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

No 98% 1,000 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 72.9% 1,400 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

No 86% 106.5 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 65% 1,400 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

No 61.9% 230.8 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

No 75% 847.91 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 56% 800 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 79% 950 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 77% 300 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 77% 300 shares