Polymarket Trader

uxmond

0x4a74ae9378d92f25a9add91718efba25a3317a5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $70.05
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $19.31
Potential payout: $51.29
Potential profit: $31.98
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $18.31

Yes position

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $26.84
Potential profit: $25.65
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $16.96
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.69
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $9.12
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $11.32
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $6.85
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.8%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 3.15x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

USMCA extended in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $4.48
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $3.9
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.2%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.89
Potential profit: $2.91
Multiplier: 3.97x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Michelle Yeoh appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?

Yes 90% 1.39 shares
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

Yes 42% 2.98 shares
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

Yes 7% 17.86 shares
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

Yes 97% 1.03 shares
Will a trailer for Blade Runner 2099 premiere at SDCC 2026?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Will Michelle Yeoh appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?

Yes 90% 1.11 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

No 29% 6.9 shares
FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?

Yes 90.9% 1.1 shares
FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?

Yes 89% 2.25 shares
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?

Yes 42% 4.76 shares
FDA approves Celcuity's Gedatolisib?

Yes 99% 2.02 shares
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

No 86% 1.16 shares