Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Polymarket Trader
B303B
0x4a765d4bc65bf4e8216b9e8384940b5ca31a0e75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.7
- Realized PnL
- -$6.01
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.06
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Canton launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.98
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.35
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 90% 80 shares
- Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No 91% 50 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 90% 40 shares
- Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No 92% 50 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.3% 90 shares
- Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 38% 69 shares
- Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 80% 69 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No 96.4% 60 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No 99.9% 2.5 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No 94.7% 1.26 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?No 99.8% 3.44 shares
- Will Base launch a token in 2025?No 96.3% 5.31 shares