Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
000000000000000000000000000000asdasd
0x4a83dc5a6873ac3f3957d06ac25b8c3acc931933
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.84K
- Realized PnL
- $878.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$130
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $849.07
- Potential payout
- $970.37
- Potential profit
- $121.3
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $49.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $228.95
- Potential payout
- $789.47
- Potential profit
- $560.53
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $78.95
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $736.57
- Potential payout
- $775.74
- Potential profit
- $39.18
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.66
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $457.42
- Potential payout
- $494.51
- Potential profit
- $37.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.42
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $94.77
- Potential payout
- $357.62
- Potential profit
- $262.85
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $16.77
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $276.35
- Potential payout
- $352.04
- Potential profit
- $75.69
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $194.74
- Potential payout
- $350.88
- Potential profit
- $156.14
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.26
- Potential profit
- $80.26
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Team Orange Gaming position
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.4
- Potential profit
- $47.4
- User PnL
- -$9.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.1
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.63
- Potential profit
- $18.63
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.21
- Potential profit
- $18.21
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.96
- Potential profit
- $17.96
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.54
- Potential profit
- $15.54
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.96
- Potential profit
- $11.96
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.68
- Potential profit
- $11.68
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.94
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 21.8% 357.62 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?No 93.9% 745.37 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 57% 350.88 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 86.9% 575.63 shares
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonTeam Orange Gaming 10% 50 shares
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonTeam Orange Gaming 55% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 20% 47.4 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 98.5% 10 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?No 91.9% 30.37 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.2% 1,295.37 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 68% 352.04 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.2% 20.49 shares