Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$90
Polymarket Trader
bourn22
0x4a86353a4c7d93f7a68fb802656a253824602220
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2K
- Realized PnL
- $36.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $9.3K
- Potential profit
- $7.3K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $450.07
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- User PnL
- -$100
Canadiens position
Capitals vs. Canadiens
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Stars position
Islanders vs. Stars
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$250
Louisville position
Clemson vs. Louisville
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $893.07
- Potential profit
- $893.07
- User PnL
- -$650
Yes position
Will Dua Lipa be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Rihanna be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Chris Brown be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Ye be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.5
- Potential profit
- $827.5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $727.4
- Potential profit
- $727.4
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Southern Miss position
Texas State vs. Southern Miss
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$25.86
Yes position
Will Tencent have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$25.86
Yes position
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$25.86
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$25.86
No position
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.44
- Potential profit
- $254.44
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
Ends May 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $833.26
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $533.45
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.77
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.59
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12?
Ends May 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.01
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.14
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.45
No position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.87
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.93
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.57
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.53
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.48
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.04
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 13,759.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 3,693.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 648.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 39% 1,057.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 1,446.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 1,931.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 13.9% 393.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 14.2% 5,654.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 14.7% 394.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 15.1% 37.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 7% 12,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 14,683.58 shares