Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $519.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$63.89
Polymarket Trader
tureorfalse
0x4a8aff9d694f90b839d8c7409b15398b6bf4ee49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.17
- Realized PnL
- $0.06
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.18
- Potential profit
- $163.18
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.92
- Potential profit
- $131.92
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.09
- Potential profit
- $33.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.04
- Potential profit
- $17.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 8% 11.11 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No 90% 1.08 shares
- Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 9.2% 163.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 5.9% 17.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 94.5% 1.06 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 96.3% 5.19 shares
- Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 20?Up 52% 9.62 shares