Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$68.45
Polymarket Trader
Castledsasngiod
0x4a9027a16dec5e8b05e194aec7825cb2f6af03b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $206.17
- Realized PnL
- $29.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Juan Carlos Prado position
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.68K
- Potential profit
- $10.68K
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $18.44
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.38
Thiago Agustin Tirante position
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$86.04
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Athletics position
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.06
- Potential profit
- $909.06
- User PnL
- -$463.62
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $89.12
- Potential payout
- $467.84
- Potential profit
- $378.71
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.87
- Potential profit
- $421.87
- User PnL
- -$97.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $34.41
- Potential payout
- $248.46
- Potential profit
- $214.05
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $32.64
- Potential payout
- $219.78
- Potential profit
- $187.14
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $12.64
Yes position
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Club ABB win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.56
- Potential profit
- $93.56
- User PnL
- -$16.84
Yes position
Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $81.43
- Potential profit
- $76.91
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.75
- Potential profit
- $61.75
- User PnL
- -$14.82
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $55.68
- Potential profit
- $51.14
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.5
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.04K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Alycia Parks position
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.41
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $476.79
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $373.26
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.42
Yes position
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.11
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Colorado Rockies position
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
Colton Smith position
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Michael Mmoh
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.93
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Yes position
Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 0.7% 3,688.57 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 55.68 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 92.6% 9,571.2 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 82.7% 14,194.57 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 36% 92.67 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 36% 23,673.11 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 99.9% 2,187.8 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 82.2% 2,187.8 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 53.1% 4,110.33 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 30% 19.33 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 30% 4,091 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 73% 1,737.98 shares