Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $395.83
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $6.55K
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $361.73
Polymarket Trader
lalalaland
0x4a941320faf5998f456b8f049ed7713d3df1a136
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $395.83
- Realized PnL
- $498.95
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$841.55
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$35.57
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$308.84
No position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489.82
- Potential profit
- $489.82
- User PnL
- -$94.67
No position
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.27
- Potential profit
- $100.27
- User PnL
- -$43.39
No position
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.27
- Potential profit
- $100.27
- User PnL
- -$62.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.66
Yes position
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.67
Yes position
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.58
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Nottingham Forest be relegated?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Pope Francis step down before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Japan prime minister Ishiba out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
No position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 21% 654.12 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.4% 500 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.5% 2,782.93 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.4% 845 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.5% 5,379.38 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 19.6% 198.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No 1.5% 503.8 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No 1.6% 2,009.19 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 19.6% 12.92 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 19.1% 291.3 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 17.8% 62 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 23.7% 200 shares