Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09K
- Potential profit
- $9.09K
- User PnL
- -$359.99
Polymarket Trader
jcal7
0x4a9a9c28e929d354d5350a7f928893950a9681d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.41K
- Realized PnL
- $9.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.41K
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $577.6
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $772.47
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$283.82
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $880.85
- Potential profit
- $880.85
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $692.33
- Potential profit
- $692.33
- User PnL
- -$345
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $565.39
- Potential profit
- $565.39
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
No position
Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.46
Yes position
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.3
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625
Yes position
Will the AP call the election on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.83
No position
Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.3
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.59
Yes position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.56
Yes position
Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 25-30%
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.28
No position
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.61
No position
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.5
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.57
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.53
Yes position
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.5
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.32
No position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.97
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?
Ends Feb 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99
No position
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%
Ends Jan 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.03
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Perez position
WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?No 72% 1,637.49 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 62% 4,030.25 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 62.1% 1,700.77 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 53% 188.68 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes 31.4% 1,920.89 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes 26.9% 3,720.89 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 35.4% 565.39 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 47.8% 637.1 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 500 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No 99.9% 100.09 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No 99.9% 304.41 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No 74.9% 100.09 shares