Polymarket Trader

some-dipshit

0x4aa08c1e4ba6fdcddb752ca8886cc0834c75bfc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $181.95
Realized PnL: $410.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $474.83
Potential profit: $474.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.76

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $34.31
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $161.76
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $24.31

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $161.97
Potential profit: $161.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $102.38
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $56.35
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.47
Potential profit: $86.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $56.1
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $11.79
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $45.03
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $49.09
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $44.64
Potential profit: $40.07
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $15.44
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $13.97
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $29.24
Potential profit: $22.53
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.06

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.79

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.43

Yes position

Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83

No position

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $11.54

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

No position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 29.24 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 44.64 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 59.52 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 56.82 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 52.08 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.1% 196.08 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 34% 29.41 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Yes 5.8% 86.47 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 34% 147.06 shares
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Yes 52.7% 94.93 shares